The forecasting potential of adaptive models in tourism

The article discusses forecasting as one of the special scientific research areas which contribute to assessment tourist activity development prospects, identification key tourism factors and effective management decision criteria. study provides an overview modern methods used in Russia other countries for making forecasts field tourism. It aims at assessing predictive capabilities adaptive modeling, not frequently currently research, quantitative analysis flows using example Barcelona, a major urban destination pre-pandemic period. An forecast numbers based on models is proposed, indicators showing region success have proven successful processes with dynamic but unstable character.